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UK/Ireland Thunderstorm Outbreak Thurs May 5th - Wed May 11th

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Author Topic: UK/Ireland Thunderstorm Outbreak Thurs May 5th - Wed May 11th  (Read 894 times)
martinastro
Martin Mc Kenna
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« on: May 09, 2011, 12:10:01 am »

Storm forecast for Monday from Tony Gilbert...



Moderate risk of isolated thunderstorms Ireland, Wales, northern UK & Scotland 09Z-21Z

Quasi stationary filling low west of the UK continues to feed unstable northward across the UK. Deep upper troughing increases lapse rates rapidly by early on in the day. With some minor insolation we can expect to see some sharp convection initiate and spread north. With a very cold pool aloft we should see numerous cumulonimbus formation with classic anvil at the tropapuse. Elevated strong jet stream will slide the anvils off to the NE. Some moderate increase in vertical shear with surface troughing aligning with streamlining vector will develop line convection in train motion. Credit: Tony Gilbert from UKWW.
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