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Convective Outlook - North UK - Sun Jan 16th 2011

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Author Topic: Convective Outlook - North UK - Sun Jan 16th 2011  (Read 58 times)
martinastro
Martin Mc Kenna
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« on: January 15, 2011, 08:39:05 pm »



Storm Forecast
Valid: Sun 16 Jan 2011 06:00 to Mon 17 Jan 2011 06:00 UTC
Issued: Sat 15 Jan 2011 20:14
Forecaster: SCHLENCZEK
No threat levels have been issued.

SYNOPSIS / DISCUSSION

Not much convective activity is expected on Sunday. A few showers and thunderstorms may occur along the axis of an upper trough over N Ireland and Scotland and also over the E Atlantic. In most places with low CIN, deep layer shear is quite weak and organized severe convection is unlikely. A few strong wind gusts cannot be ruled out but a threat level is not warranted.
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