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Aurora Watch Feb 7th - 12th

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Author Topic: Aurora Watch Feb 7th - 12th  (Read 432 times)
martinastro
Martin Mc Kenna
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« on: February 07, 2010, 01:02:26 pm »

Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled with isolated active conditions, and a slight chance for isolated minor storming for the next three days (07-09 February). The increase in activity is expected due to CME activity from 02-03 February and a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.

Keep an eye on that new active region!!
« Last Edit: February 10, 2010, 11:08:52 pm by martinastro » Report Spam   Logged

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martinastro
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« Reply #1 on: February 07, 2010, 02:20:36 pm »

SW has mentioned about the potential for X-class flares from 1045!
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Tyler
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« Reply #2 on: February 07, 2010, 05:06:45 pm »

I was watching it last night after it spit out a Class M6 flare, hopefully we'll get some auroras outta this!!
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markt
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« Reply #3 on: February 07, 2010, 06:27:08 pm »

Yes, i've been keeping an eye on this too.  The sun certainly is waking up quite quickly atm...

This time next week i'm in Iceland for the week on my hollibops, and I can guarantee every clear dark sky moment I will be looking out for auroras!  Wink
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martinastro
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« Reply #4 on: February 08, 2010, 11:25:26 pm »

70% chance of M class and 15% chance of X class flares according to the latest NOAA forecasts, and the look of a further sunspot/2 sunspots to rotate onto the earthside of the sun over the next few days; a lot more active now.
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markt
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« Reply #5 on: February 09, 2010, 07:35:05 am »

They've now got a solar winmd stream due to hit earth on the 14th, which is when i'm away.

*Keeps fingers crossed for clear skies*

 Roll Eyes
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martinastro
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« Reply #6 on: February 09, 2010, 04:04:33 pm »

I bet you will see an aurora Mark with 100% confidence that far north, I'm that confident that I'm now just expecting you to be coming back with images for us to drool over  Smiley, keep those batteries charged and best of luck!

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martinastro
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« Reply #7 on: February 10, 2010, 11:08:33 pm »

No activity so far, the full halo CME from Feb 7th is now expected to arrive late on Feb 11th. Keep an eye out. Thread title changed to accomodate new intel.
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martinastro
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« Reply #8 on: February 11, 2010, 04:50:16 pm »

Keep watch tonight, 11/12th for CME impact and slight chance of aurora activity.
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