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What is the weather at 17S, 145E ?

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Author Topic: What is the weather at 17S, 145E ?  (Read 517 times)
Roman White
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« on: November 11, 2009, 11:28:03 pm »

I have some interest about the weather in QLD, Australia. Not all year long, but only in mid-November. Now you have probably guessed that I talk about a total eclipse, which will take place exactly in 3 years (ok, exactly in 1098 days). In my opinion, that's the only one reasonable place to travel until USA in 2017 (tell me if I'm not right... Pacific ocean next July, none in 2011, Equatorial Africa in 2013, Spitzbergen in 2015, Indonesia in 2016 - any of those isn't a good choice if notice the weather factor). And it isn't a lot of time left... well, if one will thoroughly prepare to view the totality in Kangoroo land.  Smiley

Since Septemeber I have gathered some info about this eclipse, but as it refers more to the Astronomy forum, let me not post it in here & right now, but take at the moment take a short look of the weather conditions.
Need to say that there is a good climate analyse available somewhere on the web - I'll try to post the link to it later.

Now (and next years too) I try to simply monitor the real weather conditions during a few days around Nov.14, by viewing satellite images, as well as searching for some nice webcams on the shore near Cairns.
Remember, that the eclipse will start just after sunrise - that is approx. 6 hours local time = 20h UT = 22h EET. Therefore all the further talk is only about the morning weather in that area.

Novemeber is the first month of rainy season there, but I hope (and I see from various sat. images) that there will be few cloudy days, especially in the western part of the CYP (Cape York Peninsula).

Today, Nov.12 (tonight in Europe) the weather in Cairns is [what we hope not to occurre] cloudy & rainy. Not as much as a tropical storm, but there is a complete cloud cover in Cairns area (although partly cloudy in the western CYP).

20:30 UT = 06:30 local, © www.weatheronline.co.uk


© www.cairnsinfo.com


Two previous days (Tue-Wed) were looking more optimistic, as you can see, with probable clouds near the shore, but clear skies in the inner lands:
« Last Edit: December 04, 2009, 11:43:53 am by Roman White » Report Spam   Logged

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Roman White
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« Reply #1 on: November 11, 2009, 11:54:23 pm »

Well... November definitely isn't the worst month  Smiley

some statistics for Cairns:

Month          Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec    Annual

Highest        40.4  38.9  37.7  36.8  31.3  30.8  30.1  31.4  33.9  36    37.2  40.5     40.5
Average max    31.4  31.1  30.5  29.2  27.6  25.9  25.7  26.5  27.9  29.5  30.6  31.3     28.9
Average min    23.6  23.7  23    21.6  19.8  17.7  17    17.4  18.6  20.6  22.3  23.3     20.7
Lowest         18.2  17.9  18.5  13    10.1   6.2   7.3   7.8  11.1  12.4  14.6  17.1     6.2
Avg % hum      66    69    67    65    64    61    57    56    55    57    60    62      62
Avg monthly
rainfall mm   387.5 448.7 409.1 198.3  94.1  46.9  28.7  27.9  35.1  40.1  95.6 180    1992
Av rainy days  17.8  19.1  19.1  17.7  13.7   9.5   8.8   8.1   7.7   8.1  10    13.7   153.3
~ cloudy days  15.8  17.5  16.3  13.7  12.5  10     9.8   7.6   5.8   5.4   7.5  11.8   133.6
Avg daily hrs
of sunshine     6.9   6     6.5   6.8   6.7   7.4   7.4   7.9   8.5   8.8   8.4   7.7     7.4
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Roman White
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« Reply #2 on: November 13, 2009, 09:34:21 pm »

Satellite images from 2 last days:
Yesterday it was still cloudy at the ocean shore, and this morning it is partly cloudy. Meanwhile the inner CYP has good clear skies.


That would be nice if the same weather will occure in 2012:  Smiley

www.cairnsinfo.com
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Roman White
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« Reply #3 on: November 18, 2009, 12:23:24 pm »

Need to say that there is a good climate analyse available somewhere on the web - I'll try to post the link to it later.
Here is that page: http://home.cc.umanitoba.ca/~jander/tot2012/tse12intro.htm
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Roman White
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« Reply #4 on: December 26, 2009, 02:39:23 pm »

You can see the fairly good statistics above, but hmm... the locals have some different opinion:  Undecided
Quote
(...) We believe the worst months for humidity are from October through to Xmas which normally corresponds with the thunderstorm season preluding the start of the monsoon rains. So if you are considering travelling here at this time of the year you must remember that most of our yearly rainfall does occur in the summer months usually early morning, late afternoon and through the night. (...)

http://www.visitcairns.com.au/weather.htm
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