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Severe T-Storm Risk UK & IRL June 29th-July 7th

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Author Topic: Severe T-Storm Risk UK & IRL June 29th-July 7th  (Read 7045 times)
Martin Mc Kenna
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Maghera, N. Ireland

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« Reply #15 on: June 30, 2009, 01:07:01 am »

Yes, warm, humid and very uncomfortable...not much sleep tonight.

Latest GFS is out at 00.00. Britain is still on go for storms however the Ireland/N. Ireland CAPE and LI has been downgraded big time. There will still be a chance for storms but the CAPE is nothing like it was progged earlier...grrr. However, it has upgraded Sat and Sun as the best days with just under 1000 CAPE on Sun with LI of -3 so this thundery period will extend for longer than expected. With the way the models are chopping and changing so much with each run anything is possible this week and weekend...let's wait and see.

In the meantime there have been some sferics over the W coast of Ireland tonight and Britain also. Something could explode over the S of the UK tonight with cells/storms crossing the channel.
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