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2/9/09 FCST: NE/KS/IA

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Author Topic: 2/9/09 FCST: NE/KS/IA  (Read 1329 times)
Tyler
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Lincoln, Nebraska/Waconia, Minnesota, USA


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« on: February 09, 2009, 05:01:18 pm »

SPC

NEAR ZERO CAPE AND NO DETECTABLE
   LIGHTNING

STRONG HEATING IS OCCURRING
   OVER KS.  THIS WILL HELP TO STEEPEN LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND RESULT
   IN MARGINAL INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN KS...SOUTHEAST
   NEB...AND SOUTHWEST IA.  LATEST SURFACE TRENDS SHOW SUBSTANTIAL
   DRYING AND VEERING OVER KS.  THESE FACTORS ARE RESULTING IN A
   LOWERED CONFIDENCE THAT ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS CAN REDEVELOP THIS
   AFTERNOON.  RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALSO SUGGEST AN INCREASING MID
   LEVEL INVERSION THAT WILL FURTHER LIMIT THERMODYNAMIC SUPPORT FOR
   CONVECTION.  NEVERTHELESS...WILL MAINTAIN LOW PROBABILITIES OF
   HAIL/WIND/TORNADOES IN THIS REGION IN THE EVENT THAT A STORM OR TWO
   CAN OVERCOME STRENGTH OF SHEAR AND BECOME SUPERCELLULAR.

really hoping for that isolated supercell
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