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Title: Convective Outlook - North UK - Sun Jan 16th 2011 Post by: martinastro on January 15, 2011, 08:39:05 pm (http://i56.tinypic.com/fm7waa.png) Storm Forecast Valid: Sun 16 Jan 2011 06:00 to Mon 17 Jan 2011 06:00 UTC Issued: Sat 15 Jan 2011 20:14 Forecaster: SCHLENCZEK No threat levels have been issued. SYNOPSIS / DISCUSSION Not much convective activity is expected on Sunday. A few showers and thunderstorms may occur along the axis of an upper trough over N Ireland and Scotland and also over the E Atlantic. In most places with low CIN, deep layer shear is quite weak and organized severe convection is unlikely. A few strong wind gusts cannot be ruled out but a threat level is not warranted. |